Tropical Depression ELEVEN-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006
1500 UTC MON AUG 28 2006
...CORRECTED FOR AWIPS BIN NUMBER IN FIRST LINE ABOVE...
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) 2(19)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 2(17)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
CULICAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 3(22) X(22)
P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 29(34) 2(36) X(36)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) 1(10)
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 25(31) 1(32) 1(33)
MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) 1( 8)
L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 14(35) X(35) X(35)
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 14(21) 9(30) X(30) X(30)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ACAPULCO 34 X 3( 3) 12(15) 7(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24)
ACAPULCO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
P MALDONADO 34 X 6( 6) 8(14) 3(17) 1(18) 1(19) X(19)
P ANGEL 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
HUATULCO 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 18(30) 1(31)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 6(22) 1(23)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 136N 973W 34 45 20(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
12 136N 973W 50 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
12 136N 973W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 141N 991W 34 2 51(53) 14(67) 3(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
24 141N 991W 50 X 13(13) 9(22) 1(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
24 141N 991W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 147N 1009W 34 X 12(12) 40(52) 13(65) 4(69) X(69) X(69)
36 147N 1009W 50 X 1( 1) 17(18) 9(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29)
36 147N 1009W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 159N 1028W 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 34(50) 16(66) 1(67) X(67)
48 159N 1028W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 10(27) X(27) X(27)
48 159N 1028W 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10)
72 190N 1080W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 38(39) 12(51) X(51)
72 190N 1080W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 6(19) 1(20)
72 190N 1080W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)
96 210N 1120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20(26) 3(29)
96 210N 1120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9)
96 210N 1120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
120 220N 1150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13)
120 220N 1150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
120 220N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 50 60 70 80 70 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA
NNNN
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