Tropical Storm JOHN

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOHN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
500 AM PDT SUN SEP 03 2006
 
...JOHN HEADING UP THE SPINE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...
...HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA TO SAN EVARISTO.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD TO BAHIA MAGDALENA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN AND NEAR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...BAJA
CALIFORNIA....AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF JOHN.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOHN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.4 WEST OR ABOUT 25
MILES... 45 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MULEGE MEXICO AND ABOUT 180 MILES
...290 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO.
 
JOHN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/HR.  ON THIS
TRACK JOHN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA
TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND JOHN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTALS UP TO 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
BAJA PENINSULA.  THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA CRUZ TO GUAYMAS
COULD SEE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10
INCHES.  THESE AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM PDT POSITION...26.8 N...112.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
 
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