ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JOHN ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006 200 PM PDT SAT SEP 02 2006 ...JOHN TRAVELING THROUGH BAJA CALIFORNIA DUMPING HEAVY RAINS... AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES. AT 2 PM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ADJUSTED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO SAN EVARISTO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA TO SAN EVARISTO. AT 2 PM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO PUNTA EUGENIA AND SOUTHWARD TO SANTA FE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD TO SANTA FE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN AND NEAR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...BAJA CALIFORNIA....AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOHN. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOHN WAS LOCATED BY RADAR AND SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.2 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...SOUTH OF LORETO MEXICO AND ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO. JOHN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK JOHN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE CONTINUED TO DECREASE AND ARE NOW NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS JOHN INTERACTS WITH BAJA CALIFORNIA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS UP TO 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA. THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA CRUZ TO GUAYMAS COULD SEE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 200 PM PDT POSITION...25.0 N...111.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC