Tropical Storm JOHN

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TROPICAL STORM JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
0300 UTC SUN SEP 03 2006
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA TO SAN EVARISTO.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD TO SANTA FE.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN AND NEAR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...BAJA
CALIFORNIA....AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF JOHN.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 111.7W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  25SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 111.7W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 111.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 26.4N 112.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  25SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 27.4N 113.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 28.3N 114.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 29.0N 115.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 29.5N 117.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 29.5N 119.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 111.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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