ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA HURRICANE JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006 0300 UTC THU AUG 31 2006 CORRECTED FOR INITIAL MOTION AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CANCELED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM ACAPULCO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CANCELED THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO CARDENAS. AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO SAN BLAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WATCH WITH A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST. AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR ISLAS MARIAS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 104.5W AT 31/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 140SE 120SW 140NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 104.5W AT 31/0300Z AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 104.1W FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 19.3N 105.9W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 21.3N 107.2W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 22.4N 108.6W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.0N 109.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 23.8N 112.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 24.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 24.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 104.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC