Hurricane HECTOR

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
2100 UTC SAT AUG 19 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 190N 1324W 34 89   3(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 12 190N 1324W 50 59  12(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 12 190N 1324W 64 24   3(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
 24 198N 1339W 34 30  32(62)   2(64)   1(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 24 198N 1339W 50  3  18(21)   1(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 24 198N 1339W 64  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 36 205N 1351W 34  6  18(24)   8(32)   1(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 36 205N 1351W 50  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 36 205N 1351W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 210N 1365W 34  4   4( 8)   5(13)   3(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 48 210N 1365W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 210N 1365W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 215N 1395W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 72 215N 1395W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 215N 1395W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 220N 1430W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 96 220N 1430W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 96 220N 1430W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     50      35      25      20      20       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN