Hurricane HECTOR

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
0900 UTC SAT AUG 19 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 180N 1307W 34 94   3(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 12 180N 1307W 50 71  11(82)   1(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 12 180N 1307W 64 41  11(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 
 24 189N 1325W 34 32  48(80)   4(84)   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 24 189N 1325W 50  3  37(40)   8(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 24 189N 1325W 64  X  16(16)   2(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
 36 196N 1339W 34  6  34(40)  17(57)   4(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 36 196N 1339W 50  X   7( 7)  13(20)   2(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 36 196N 1339W 64  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 48 203N 1351W 34  3  12(15)  15(30)   8(38)   3(41)   1(42)   X(42)
 48 203N 1351W 50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 48 203N 1351W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 210N 1375W 34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   4( 9)   5(14)   2(16)   X(16)
 72 210N 1375W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 210N 1375W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 215N 1405W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 96 215N 1405W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 215N 1405W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     80     70      55      45      30      20       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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