Hurricane HECTOR

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
2100 UTC FRI AUG 18 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 173N 1286W 34 96   2(98)   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 173N 1286W 50 72  10(82)   1(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 12 173N 1286W 64 37  12(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 
 24 180N 1305W 34 26  53(79)   6(85)   X(85)   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)
 24 180N 1305W 50  2  38(40)   7(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 24 180N 1305W 64  X  17(17)   3(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
 36 187N 1319W 34  3  35(38)  20(58)   4(62)   2(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 36 187N 1319W 50  X   6( 6)  15(21)   3(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 36 187N 1319W 64  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 48 195N 1330W 34  1  10(11)  21(32)  10(42)   4(46)   1(47)   X(47)
 48 195N 1330W 50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   5(11)   2(13)   X(13)   1(14)
 48 195N 1330W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 205N 1350W 34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   6(12)   8(20)   3(23)   1(24)
 72 205N 1350W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 72 205N 1350W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 210N 1380W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)
 96 210N 1380W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 210N 1380W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 215N 1410W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
120 215N 1410W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 215N 1410W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     80     70      60      50      40      30      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB/LANDSEA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN