Hurricane HECTOR

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
0900 UTC FRI AUG 18 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 165N 1260W 34 97   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 165N 1260W 50 77  10(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 12 165N 1260W 64 41  17(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 
 24 174N 1280W 34 23  63(86)   6(92)   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 24 174N 1280W 50  2  48(50)  10(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 24 174N 1280W 64  X  25(25)   8(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
 36 183N 1297W 34  2  32(34)  35(69)   6(75)   2(77)   X(77)   X(77)
 36 183N 1297W 50  X   5( 5)  26(31)   5(36)   2(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 36 183N 1297W 64  X   1( 1)  13(14)   3(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
 48 190N 1311W 34  X   8( 8)  29(37)  15(52)   6(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 48 190N 1311W 50  X   1( 1)   8( 9)  11(20)   3(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 48 190N 1311W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 72 205N 1335W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)  12(25)   2(27)   X(27)
 72 205N 1335W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 72 205N 1335W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 220N 1360W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)
 96 220N 1360W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 220N 1360W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 230N 1390W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
120 230N 1390W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 230N 1390W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90     85      75      65      45      25      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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