ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006 2100 UTC THU AUG 17 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 154N 1237W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 154N 1237W 50 77 10(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) 12 154N 1237W 64 39 16(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 24 162N 1257W 34 17 69(86) 6(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 24 162N 1257W 50 1 52(53) 12(65) X(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) 24 162N 1257W 64 X 28(28) 9(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 36 170N 1277W 34 2 24(26) 42(68) 10(78) 2(80) X(80) X(80) 36 170N 1277W 50 X 5( 5) 30(35) 9(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) 36 170N 1277W 64 X 1( 1) 16(17) 4(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) 48 179N 1296W 34 X 3( 3) 25(28) 24(52) 7(59) X(59) X(59) 48 179N 1296W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25) 48 179N 1296W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 72 195N 1325W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 17(26) 3(29) X(29) 72 195N 1325W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 72 195N 1325W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 96 210N 1350W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) 96 210N 1350W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 210N 1350W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 225N 1380W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 120 225N 1380W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 225N 1380W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 85 90 80 70 50 30 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:42 UTC