Hurricane HECTOR

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
2100 UTC THU AUG 17 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 154N 1237W 34 97   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 154N 1237W 50 77  10(87)   1(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 12 154N 1237W 64 39  16(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 
 24 162N 1257W 34 17  69(86)   6(92)   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 24 162N 1257W 50  1  52(53)  12(65)   X(65)   1(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 24 162N 1257W 64  X  28(28)   9(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 
 36 170N 1277W 34  2  24(26)  42(68)  10(78)   2(80)   X(80)   X(80)
 36 170N 1277W 50  X   5( 5)  30(35)   9(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 36 170N 1277W 64  X   1( 1)  16(17)   4(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
 48 179N 1296W 34  X   3( 3)  25(28)  24(52)   7(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 48 179N 1296W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)  15(20)   4(24)   1(25)   X(25)
 48 179N 1296W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 72 195N 1325W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  17(26)   3(29)   X(29)
 72 195N 1325W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 72 195N 1325W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 210N 1350W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   1(11)
 96 210N 1350W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 96 210N 1350W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 225N 1380W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
120 225N 1380W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 225N 1380W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     85     90      80      70      50      30      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN