ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006 1500 UTC THU AUG 17 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 153N 1228W 34 96 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 153N 1228W 50 71 12(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) 12 153N 1228W 64 37 17(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) 24 162N 1249W 34 12 72(84) 7(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) 24 162N 1249W 50 1 45(46) 12(58) X(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) 24 162N 1249W 64 X 22(22) 8(30) X(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) 36 171N 1269W 34 2 21(23) 43(66) 10(76) 2(78) X(78) X(78) 36 171N 1269W 50 X 3( 3) 27(30) 10(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) 36 171N 1269W 64 X 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 48 180N 1289W 34 X 3( 3) 21(24) 26(50) 9(59) 1(60) X(60) 48 180N 1289W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 6(24) X(24) X(24) 48 180N 1289W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 72 200N 1320W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 21(27) 4(31) X(31) 72 200N 1320W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 72 200N 1320W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 96 215N 1340W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 1(14) 96 215N 1340W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 96 215N 1340W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 225N 1360W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 120 225N 1360W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 225N 1360W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 80 80 75 70 55 35 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:42 UTC