Hurricane HECTOR

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
1500 UTC THU AUG 17 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 153N 1228W 34 96   3(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 153N 1228W 50 71  12(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 12 153N 1228W 64 37  17(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 
 24 162N 1249W 34 12  72(84)   7(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 24 162N 1249W 50  1  45(46)  12(58)   X(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 24 162N 1249W 64  X  22(22)   8(30)   X(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
 36 171N 1269W 34  2  21(23)  43(66)  10(76)   2(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 36 171N 1269W 50  X   3( 3)  27(30)  10(40)   1(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 36 171N 1269W 64  X   1( 1)  11(12)   4(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
 48 180N 1289W 34  X   3( 3)  21(24)  26(50)   9(59)   1(60)   X(60)
 48 180N 1289W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)   6(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 48 180N 1289W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 
 72 200N 1320W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  21(27)   4(31)   X(31)
 72 200N 1320W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 72 200N 1320W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 215N 1340W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   4(13)   1(14)
 96 215N 1340W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 96 215N 1340W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 225N 1360W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)
120 225N 1360W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
120 225N 1360W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     80     80      75      70      55      35      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN