Tropical Storm HECTOR

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
0300 UTC THU AUG 17 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 147N 1197W 34 93   4(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 12 147N 1197W 50 56  15(71)   1(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 12 147N 1197W 64 19   9(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
 24 154N 1214W 34 22  58(80)   9(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 24 154N 1214W 50  1  40(41)  12(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 24 154N 1214W 64  X  15(15)   8(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
 36 162N 1235W 34  2  17(19)  47(66)  10(76)   2(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 36 162N 1235W 50  X   2( 2)  28(30)  10(40)   1(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 36 162N 1235W 64  X   X( X)  12(12)   5(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
 48 170N 1256W 34  X   3( 3)  21(24)  27(51)  10(61)   1(62)   X(62)
 48 170N 1256W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)   6(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 48 170N 1256W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 
 72 190N 1295W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  22(26)   5(31)   X(31)
 72 190N 1295W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 72 190N 1295W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 210N 1325W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)   1(13)
 96 210N 1325W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 96 210N 1325W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 225N 1345W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
120 225N 1345W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 225N 1345W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     70      75      70      55      40      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG/PASCH                                        
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN