Tropical Storm HECTOR

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
2100 UTC WED AUG 16 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 141N 1190W 34 91   5(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 12 141N 1190W 50 44  19(63)   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 12 141N 1190W 64 16  11(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
 24 146N 1207W 34 13  66(79)  10(89)   1(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
 24 146N 1207W 50  1  38(39)  12(51)   2(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 24 146N 1207W 64  X  18(18)   8(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
 36 152N 1226W 34  1  21(22)  45(67)  11(78)   2(80)   X(80)   X(80)
 36 152N 1226W 50  X   3( 3)  28(31)  10(41)   2(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 36 152N 1226W 64  X   1( 1)  14(15)   5(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
 48 162N 1248W 34  X   2( 2)  18(20)  33(53)  13(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 48 162N 1248W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  18(21)   7(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 48 162N 1248W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
 
 72 180N 1285W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  28(33)   6(39)   X(39)
 72 180N 1285W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   2(12)   X(12)
 72 180N 1285W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 200N 1320W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   1(15)
 96 200N 1320W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 96 200N 1320W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 215N 1340W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
120 215N 1340W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
120 215N 1340W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     75      80      75      65      45      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN