Hurricane HECTOR

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HURRICANE HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006
0300 UTC SAT AUG 19 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 128.0W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......125NE 125SE  75SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 175SE 125SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 128.0W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 127.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.6N 129.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.4N 131.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.3N 132.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.0N 134.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.0N 136.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 21.5N 139.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 22.0N 142.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 128.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA
 
 
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