Hurricane HECTOR

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HURRICANE HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006
1500 UTC FRI AUG 18 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 125.8W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 175SE 175SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 125.8W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 125.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.9N 127.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.8N 129.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.7N 130.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.6N 132.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.0N 134.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 22.0N 137.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N 140.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 125.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB
 
 
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