Hurricane HECTOR

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HURRICANE HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006
1500 UTC THU AUG 17 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 121.1W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 121.1W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 120.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.3N 122.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.2N 124.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.1N 126.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.0N 128.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.0N 132.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 21.5N 134.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 22.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 121.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB
 
 
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