Tropical Storm HECTOR

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TROPICAL STORM HECTOR DISCUSSION NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006
800 AM PDT TUE AUG 22 2006
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE
IS WEAKENING AND HECTOR APPEARS WELL ON ITS WAY TO BECOMING NOTHING
BUT A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS.  NONETHELESS...AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS
FROM 0336Z SUGGESTS THAT THE SYSTEM IS STILL PRODUCING MARGINAL
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 35
KT.  IT IS ASSUMED THAT HECTOR WILL BE UNABLE TO REGENERATE
SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION AND THE FORECAST CALLS FOR A GRADUAL
SPIN DOWN. HECTOR IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH THE LOW COMPLETELY DISSIPATING IN ABOUT 48
HOURS.    
 
THE MOTION OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS APPEARS TO BE TRENDING FASTER...AS
THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BECOMES DETACHED FROM WHAT IS LEFT OF THE
DEEP CONVECTION AND IS STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL EASTERLIES. THIS
TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS
ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED.  HECTOR IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN A GENERAL
WESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN SPEED. 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      22/1500Z 22.8N 137.0W    35 KT
 12HR VT     23/0000Z 22.9N 138.2W    30 KT...DISSIPATED
 24HR VT     23/1200Z 23.0N 140.2W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     24/0000Z 23.1N 142.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     24/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN
 
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