ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082006 1500 UTC WED AUG 02 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 1(13) 1(14) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) 1(13) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 152N 1073W 34 19 5(24) X(24) X(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) 12 152N 1073W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 152N 1073W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 157N 1087W 34 2 15(17) 5(22) 1(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) 24 157N 1087W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 157N 1087W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 163N 1100W 34 X 4( 4) 11(15) 4(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) 36 163N 1100W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 163N 1100W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 172N 1115W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 5(18) 1(19) X(19) 48 172N 1115W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 48 172N 1115W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 72 182N 1137W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 8(11) 3(14) 1(15) 72 182N 1137W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 72 182N 1137W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 195N 1170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) 96 195N 1170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 96 195N 1170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 205N 1195W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 120 205N 1195W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 205N 1195W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:42 UTC