Tropical Depression GILMA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082006
0900 UTC WED AUG 02 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) 1(12)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 152N 1069W 34 18 5(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
12 152N 1069W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 152N 1069W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 157N 1082W 34 2 15(17) 4(21) 1(22) X(22) 1(23) X(23)
24 157N 1082W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 157N 1082W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 161N 1098W 34 X 4( 4) 11(15) 4(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21)
36 161N 1098W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 161N 1098W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 166N 1114W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 5(18) 1(19) X(19)
48 166N 1114W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 166N 1114W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 175N 1140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 4(14) 1(15)
72 175N 1140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
72 175N 1140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 190N 1165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10)
96 190N 1165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
96 190N 1165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 205N 1195W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
120 205N 1195W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 205N 1195W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/STEWART
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