Tropical Storm GILMA

ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM GILMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082006               
1500 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   7(18)   1(19)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 144N 1065W 34 48   4(52)   1(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 12 144N 1065W 50  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 144N 1065W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 151N 1078W 34  3  30(33)   9(42)   3(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 24 151N 1078W 50  X   6( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 24 151N 1078W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 155N 1092W 34  X   9( 9)  23(32)   8(40)   3(43)   X(43)   1(44)
 36 155N 1092W 50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 155N 1092W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 157N 1109W 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  18(28)   9(37)   1(38)   X(38)
 48 157N 1109W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 48 157N 1109W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 166N 1140W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)   7(27)   2(29)
 72 166N 1140W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)
 72 166N 1140W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 180N 1170W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   3(17)
 96 180N 1170W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 96 180N 1170W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 210N 1195W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
120 210N 1195W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 210N 1195W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      50      45      45      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN