ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM FABIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072006 1500 UTC WED AUG 02 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) X(12) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 150N 1333W 34 49 7(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 12 150N 1333W 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 12 150N 1333W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 153N 1361W 34 1 22(23) 6(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) 24 153N 1361W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 153N 1361W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 156N 1388W 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 7(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) 36 156N 1388W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 156N 1388W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 160N 1415W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21) 48 160N 1415W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 160N 1415W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 160N 1470W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) 72 160N 1470W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 72 160N 1470W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 160N 1520W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 96 160N 1520W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 160N 1520W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 160N 1565W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 120 160N 1565W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 160N 1565W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 35 35 35 30 25 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC