ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM FABIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072006 0300 UTC WED AUG 02 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 149N 1302W 34 63 9(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) 12 149N 1302W 50 10 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 12 149N 1302W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 153N 1330W 34 1 41(42) 7(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) 24 153N 1330W 50 X 8( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 24 153N 1330W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 156N 1357W 34 X 3( 3) 22(25) 8(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) 36 156N 1357W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 36 156N 1357W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 160N 1385W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 6(26) X(26) X(26) 48 160N 1385W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 160N 1385W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 160N 1440W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14) 72 160N 1440W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 160N 1440W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 160N 1495W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 96 160N 1495W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 160N 1495W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 160N 1540W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 120 160N 1540W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 160N 1540W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 45 40 40 35 25 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC