Tropical Storm FABIO

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM FABIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072006               
1500 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 153N 1276W 34 74   9(83)   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
 12 153N 1276W 50 17   7(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 12 153N 1276W 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 158N 1303W 34  1  51(52)   9(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 24 158N 1303W 50  X  13(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 24 158N 1303W 64  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 36 162N 1331W 34  X   4( 4)  34(38)  10(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 36 162N 1331W 50  X   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 36 162N 1331W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 164N 1358W 34  X   X( X)   7( 7)  22(29)   8(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 48 164N 1358W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 48 164N 1358W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 165N 1405W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   3(17)   1(18)
 72 165N 1405W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 72 165N 1405W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 165N 1450W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
 96 165N 1450W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 165N 1450W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 165N 1500W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 165N 1500W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 165N 1500W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     50     50      50      50      40      30      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN