Tropical Storm FABIO

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM FABIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072006               
0900 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 152N 1264W 34 54  11(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 12 152N 1264W 50  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 12 152N 1264W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 157N 1290W 34  1  44(45)   9(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 24 157N 1290W 50  X   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 24 157N 1290W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 162N 1317W 34  X   5( 5)  29(34)   9(43)   1(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 36 162N 1317W 50  X   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 36 162N 1317W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 165N 1340W 34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  19(27)   5(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 48 165N 1340W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 48 165N 1340W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 165N 1380W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   4(16)   X(16)
 72 165N 1380W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 72 165N 1380W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 165N 1430W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
 96 165N 1430W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 165N 1430W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 165N 1480W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 165N 1480W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 165N 1480W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      45      45      35      30      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART                                                   
                                                                    
                                                                    
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