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Tropical Storm EMILIA (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062006               
1500 UTC WED JUL 26 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34 27   4(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
LORETO         34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 257N 1146W 34 76   5(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
 12 257N 1146W 50 24   4(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 12 257N 1146W 64  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 24 266N 1163W 34  8  27(35)   4(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 24 266N 1163W 50  X   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 24 266N 1163W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 271N 1176W 34  2  10(12)   6(18)   2(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 36 271N 1176W 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 36 271N 1176W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 275N 1186W 34  1   3( 4)   5( 9)   2(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 48 275N 1186W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 275N 1186W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 280N 1200W 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 72 280N 1200W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 280N 1200W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     50     40      30      25      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN                                                
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC