ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 1500 UTC WED JUL 26 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 27 4(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) LORETO 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 257N 1146W 34 76 5(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) 12 257N 1146W 50 24 4(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 12 257N 1146W 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 266N 1163W 34 8 27(35) 4(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) 24 266N 1163W 50 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 24 266N 1163W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 271N 1176W 34 2 10(12) 6(18) 2(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) 36 271N 1176W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 271N 1176W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 275N 1186W 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) 48 275N 1186W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 275N 1186W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 280N 1200W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 72 280N 1200W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 280N 1200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50 40 30 25 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC