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Tropical Storm EMILIA (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062006               
2100 UTC TUE JUL 25 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  1   7( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 11   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  6   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
LA PAZ         34 10   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
LORETO         34  2   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CULICAN        34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 231N 1125W 34 87   4(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
 12 231N 1125W 50 21   5(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 12 231N 1125W 64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 245N 1140W 34  9  40(49)   4(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 24 245N 1140W 50  X   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 24 245N 1140W 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 255N 1153W 34  1  15(16)  11(27)   2(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 36 255N 1153W 50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 36 255N 1153W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 262N 1164W 34  1   3( 4)   8(12)   3(15)   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 48 262N 1164W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 262N 1164W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 268N 1183W 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 72 268N 1183W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 268N 1183W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     50     45      35      25      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC