ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 0900 UTC TUE JUL 25 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 7 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SAN JOSE CABO 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LA PAZ 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LORETO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 213N 1119W 34 83 5(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) 12 213N 1119W 50 19 5(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 12 213N 1119W 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 229N 1133W 34 9 39(48) 5(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) 24 229N 1133W 50 X 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 24 229N 1133W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 243N 1150W 34 1 8( 9) 14(23) 4(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) 36 243N 1150W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 243N 1150W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 252N 1167W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) 48 252N 1167W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 252N 1167W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 260N 1190W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 72 260N 1190W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 260N 1190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50 45 35 30 25 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC