ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 0300 UTC TUE JUL 25 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LA PAZ 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 26 X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 206N 1114W 34 86 4(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) 12 206N 1114W 50 20 5(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 12 206N 1114W 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 220N 1127W 34 10 40(50) 4(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) 24 220N 1127W 50 X 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 24 220N 1127W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 233N 1141W 34 1 11(12) 14(26) 3(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) 36 233N 1141W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 233N 1141W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 242N 1159W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 7(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) 48 242N 1159W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 242N 1159W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 255N 1190W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 72 255N 1190W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 255N 1190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50 45 35 30 25 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC