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Tropical Storm EMILIA

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TROPICAL STORM EMILIA ADVISORY NUMBER  19...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062006
800 PM PDT TUE JUL 25 2006

CORRECTED LEAD STATEMENT TO READ BAJA CALIFORNIA

...EMILIA JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT EDGES CLOSER TO
SOUTHWESTERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM BUENAVISTA TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.0 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES...115 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND
ABOUT 155 MILES...250 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LAZARO
MEXICO.
 
EMILIA IS MOVING BETWEEN NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. WHILE THIS MOTION SHOULD KEEP THE CENTER OF
EMILIA OFFSHORE...THE STORM WILL COME CLOSE ENOUGH TO SPREAD
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  EMILIA IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN IN 12 TO 18 HOURS
AFTER IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATER.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER. RECENT REPORTS INDICATE TEN-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF
43 MPH...69 KM/HR...HAVE BEEN OCCURRING AT CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.

EMILIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 
4 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS.  OUTER BANDS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...22.9 N...111.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
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