Hurricane DANIEL
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006
2100 UTC SAT JUL 22 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 2(11)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 4(14)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 143N 1335W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 143N 1335W 50 89 6(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 143N 1335W 64 68 12(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
24 148N 1354W 34 26 62(88) 6(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
24 148N 1354W 50 4 60(64) 10(74) X(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75)
24 148N 1354W 64 1 40(41) 10(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
36 153N 1374W 34 2 27(29) 44(73) 8(81) 2(83) X(83) X(83)
36 153N 1374W 50 X 7( 7) 37(44) 8(52) 2(54) X(54) X(54)
36 153N 1374W 64 X 2( 2) 22(24) 6(30) X(30) X(30) 1(31)
48 158N 1390W 34 X 4( 4) 34(38) 21(59) 10(69) 1(70) 1(71)
48 158N 1390W 50 X X( X) 14(14) 17(31) 6(37) 1(38) X(38)
48 158N 1390W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18)
72 168N 1412W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 19(41) 6(47) 1(48)
72 168N 1412W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) 3(18) X(18)
72 168N 1412W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
96 180N 1435W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 9(23) 3(26)
96 180N 1435W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
96 180N 1435W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
120 195N 1485W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7)
120 195N 1485W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 195N 1485W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 115 105 95 85 70 60 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
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