Hurricane DANIEL
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006
1500 UTC SAT JUL 22 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 142N 1325W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 142N 1325W 50 91 5(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 142N 1325W 64 72 11(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
24 146N 1345W 34 25 62(87) 7(94) X(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95)
24 146N 1345W 50 4 63(67) 9(76) 1(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78)
24 146N 1345W 64 1 42(43) 12(55) X(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56)
36 151N 1364W 34 2 31(33) 41(74) 8(82) 2(84) 1(85) X(85)
36 151N 1364W 50 X 9( 9) 38(47) 9(56) 2(58) X(58) X(58)
36 151N 1364W 64 X 3( 3) 24(27) 7(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35)
48 156N 1380W 34 X 6( 6) 33(39) 22(61) 11(72) X(72) 1(73)
48 156N 1380W 50 X X( X) 15(15) 18(33) 6(39) X(39) 1(40)
48 156N 1380W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21)
72 165N 1402W 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 16(22) 21(43) 5(48) 1(49)
72 165N 1402W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 11(18) 2(20) 1(21)
72 165N 1402W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
96 175N 1425W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 12(15) 9(24) 1(25)
96 175N 1425W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
96 175N 1425W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
120 190N 1455W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9)
120 190N 1455W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 190N 1455W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 120 110 100 90 75 60 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
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