Hurricane DANIEL
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006
2100 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 138N 1289W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 138N 1289W 50 92 4(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 138N 1289W 64 72 10(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
24 142N 1307W 34 34 54(88) 5(93) 1(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95)
24 142N 1307W 50 6 61(67) 8(75) 1(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77)
24 142N 1307W 64 1 42(43) 10(53) X(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54)
36 146N 1323W 34 2 41(43) 31(74) 7(81) 2(83) X(83) X(83)
36 146N 1323W 50 X 15(15) 33(48) 7(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56)
36 146N 1323W 64 X 5( 5) 21(26) 6(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
48 150N 1339W 34 1 7( 8) 31(39) 19(58) 8(66) X(66) 1(67)
48 150N 1339W 50 X 1( 1) 14(15) 14(29) 6(35) X(35) X(35)
48 150N 1339W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16)
72 160N 1360W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 15(22) 14(36) 4(40) X(40)
72 160N 1360W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 1(13) X(13)
72 160N 1360W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
96 175N 1380W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 5(17) 1(18)
96 175N 1380W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
96 175N 1380W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 195N 1400W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
120 195N 1400W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 195N 1400W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 120 110 95 80 60 45 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA
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