ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 0300 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 136N 1256W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 136N 1256W 50 91 4(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 12 136N 1256W 64 69 11(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) 24 141N 1272W 34 48 42(90) 5(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 24 141N 1272W 50 8 60(68) 9(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) 24 141N 1272W 64 1 42(43) 11(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) 36 145N 1290W 34 2 36(38) 37(75) 8(83) 2(85) X(85) X(85) 36 145N 1290W 50 X 11(11) 36(47) 9(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) 36 145N 1290W 64 X 4( 4) 23(27) 7(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) 48 150N 1308W 34 X 5( 5) 31(36) 23(59) 10(69) X(69) X(69) 48 150N 1308W 50 X X( X) 11(11) 19(30) 7(37) X(37) X(37) 48 150N 1308W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18) 72 160N 1340W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 21(33) 4(37) 1(38) 72 160N 1340W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12) X(12) 72 160N 1340W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 96 170N 1365W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 5(16) 2(18) 96 170N 1365W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 96 170N 1365W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 185N 1380W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 120 185N 1380W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 185N 1380W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 125 115 100 85 65 50 40 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC