Hurricane DANIEL
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006
1500 UTC THU JUL 20 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 129N 1237W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 129N 1237W 50 86 6(92) 1(93) X(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94)
12 129N 1237W 64 70 9(79) 1(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
24 133N 1251W 34 60 31(91) 5(96) X(96) X(96) 1(97) X(97)
24 133N 1251W 50 10 53(63) 10(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
24 133N 1251W 64 3 41(44) 11(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
36 138N 1267W 34 3 41(44) 33(77) 7(84) 3(87) X(87) X(87)
36 138N 1267W 50 X 12(12) 35(47) 8(55) 2(57) X(57) X(57)
36 138N 1267W 64 X 5( 5) 24(29) 7(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37)
48 143N 1283W 34 1 6( 7) 34(41) 22(63) 12(75) X(75) X(75)
48 143N 1283W 50 X 1( 1) 13(14) 17(31) 8(39) X(39) X(39)
48 143N 1283W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22)
72 153N 1315W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 26(39) 6(45) 1(46)
72 153N 1315W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 2(17) 1(18)
72 153N 1315W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
96 163N 1345W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) 2(21)
96 163N 1345W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
96 163N 1345W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 175N 1370W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9)
120 175N 1370W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 175N 1370W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 115 115 105 90 75 60 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA
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