ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 0300 UTC THU JUL 20 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 122N 1221W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 122N 1221W 50 86 7(93) X(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 12 122N 1221W 64 65 12(77) X(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) 24 127N 1236W 34 50 40(90) 5(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 24 127N 1236W 50 7 55(62) 11(73) 2(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) 24 127N 1236W 64 2 39(41) 10(51) 2(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) 36 132N 1251W 34 3 42(45) 32(77) 8(85) 3(88) X(88) X(88) 36 132N 1251W 50 X 14(14) 34(48) 11(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61) 36 132N 1251W 64 X 5( 5) 24(29) 9(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) 48 138N 1269W 34 1 5( 6) 30(36) 28(64) 12(76) 1(77) X(77) 48 138N 1269W 50 X X( X) 11(11) 23(34) 9(43) 1(44) X(44) 48 138N 1269W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 6(24) X(24) X(24) 72 145N 1300W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 29(43) 7(50) 1(51) 72 145N 1300W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 3(20) X(20) 72 145N 1300W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 96 155N 1330W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 12(23) 2(25) 96 155N 1330W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 96 155N 1330W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 120 170N 1360W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 120 170N 1360W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 170N 1360W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 105 110 110 100 80 65 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC