Hurricane DANIEL
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006
2100 UTC WED JUL 19 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 121N 1215W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 121N 1215W 50 80 9(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
12 121N 1215W 64 47 16(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
24 125N 1229W 34 52 37(89) 6(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
24 125N 1229W 50 7 53(60) 10(70) 2(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
24 125N 1229W 64 2 33(35) 11(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
36 129N 1245W 34 3 39(42) 34(76) 8(84) 3(87) X(87) X(87)
36 129N 1245W 50 X 11(11) 34(45) 10(55) 3(58) X(58) X(58)
36 129N 1245W 64 X 3( 3) 22(25) 8(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34)
48 134N 1263W 34 1 5( 6) 30(36) 27(63) 13(76) 1(77) X(77)
48 134N 1263W 50 X X( X) 11(11) 22(33) 9(42) 1(43) X(43)
48 134N 1263W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22)
72 145N 1300W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 31(39) 7(46) 2(48)
72 145N 1300W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 3(18) 1(19)
72 145N 1300W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
96 155N 1330W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 12(23) 3(26)
96 155N 1330W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
96 155N 1330W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
120 170N 1360W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10)
120 170N 1360W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 170N 1360W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 95 105 105 95 80 65 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
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