ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 0900 UTC WED JUL 19 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 118N 1203W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 118N 1203W 50 79 9(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 12 118N 1203W 64 43 17(60) X(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) 24 121N 1219W 34 40 48(88) 6(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) 24 121N 1219W 50 5 53(58) 10(68) 2(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) 24 121N 1219W 64 1 31(32) 11(43) 2(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) 36 125N 1236W 34 2 35(37) 37(74) 10(84) 3(87) X(87) X(87) 36 125N 1236W 50 X 10(10) 34(44) 11(55) 3(58) X(58) X(58) 36 125N 1236W 64 X 2( 2) 22(24) 8(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34) 48 129N 1255W 34 X 5( 5) 28(33) 30(63) 14(77) 2(79) X(79) 48 129N 1255W 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 25(34) 11(45) 1(46) X(46) 48 129N 1255W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 8(24) X(24) X(24) 72 136N 1293W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 36(43) 11(54) 2(56) 72 136N 1293W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 5(23) 1(24) 72 136N 1293W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) 96 145N 1330W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 20(28) 4(32) 96 145N 1330W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) 96 145N 1330W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 120 155N 1360W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) 120 155N 1360W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 120 155N 1360W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 90 100 100 100 90 80 70 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC