Hurricane DANIEL

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006               
0900 UTC WED JUL 19 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 118N 1203W 34 97   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 118N 1203W 50 79   9(88)   1(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 12 118N 1203W 64 43  17(60)   X(60)   1(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 
 24 121N 1219W 34 40  48(88)   6(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 24 121N 1219W 50  5  53(58)  10(68)   2(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)
 24 121N 1219W 64  1  31(32)  11(43)   2(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 
 36 125N 1236W 34  2  35(37)  37(74)  10(84)   3(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 36 125N 1236W 50  X  10(10)  34(44)  11(55)   3(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 36 125N 1236W 64  X   2( 2)  22(24)   8(32)   2(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
 48 129N 1255W 34  X   5( 5)  28(33)  30(63)  14(77)   2(79)   X(79)
 48 129N 1255W 50  X   X( X)   9( 9)  25(34)  11(45)   1(46)   X(46)
 48 129N 1255W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   8(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
 
 72 136N 1293W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  36(43)  11(54)   2(56)
 72 136N 1293W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)   5(23)   1(24)
 72 136N 1293W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)
 
 
 96 145N 1330W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  20(28)   4(32)
 96 145N 1330W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)
 96 145N 1330W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
 
120 155N 1360W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   6(15)
120 155N 1360W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
120 155N 1360W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90    100     100     100      90      80      70
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN