Tropical Storm DANIEL
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006
0900 UTC TUE JUL 18 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 122N 1167W 34 92 4(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 122N 1167W 50 51 17(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
12 122N 1167W 64 18 12(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
24 122N 1185W 34 13 67(80) 9(89) 1(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91)
24 122N 1185W 50 1 44(45) 13(58) 2(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61)
24 122N 1185W 64 X 18(18) 10(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
36 122N 1203W 34 2 26(28) 40(68) 12(80) 4(84) X(84) X(84)
36 122N 1203W 50 X 5( 5) 32(37) 12(49) 4(53) X(53) X(53)
36 122N 1203W 64 X 1( 1) 17(18) 7(25) 3(28) X(28) X(28)
48 125N 1220W 34 X 5( 5) 30(35) 28(63) 14(77) 3(80) X(80)
48 125N 1220W 50 X X( X) 10(10) 23(33) 10(43) 1(44) 1(45)
48 125N 1220W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 8(23) 1(24) X(24)
72 130N 1250W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 34(49) 11(60) 2(62)
72 130N 1250W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 7(28) 1(29)
72 130N 1250W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) 1(16)
96 135N 1280W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 22(36) 4(40)
96 135N 1280W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 2(14)
96 135N 1280W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7)
120 145N 1310W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 9(22)
120 145N 1310W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
120 145N 1310W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 75 85 95 95 90 80
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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