ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 0300 UTC TUE JUL 18 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 123N 1154W 34 81 9(90) X(90) X(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) 12 123N 1154W 50 31 17(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) 12 123N 1154W 64 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 24 123N 1173W 34 4 65(69) 12(81) 3(84) X(84) 1(85) X(85) 24 123N 1173W 50 X 30(30) 13(43) 2(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) 24 123N 1173W 64 X 11(11) 6(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 36 123N 1189W 34 1 24(25) 38(63) 13(76) 5(81) X(81) X(81) 36 123N 1189W 50 X 4( 4) 25(29) 12(41) 2(43) 1(44) X(44) 36 123N 1189W 64 X 1( 1) 11(12) 7(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) 48 124N 1207W 34 X 3( 3) 25(28) 28(56) 16(72) 3(75) X(75) 48 124N 1207W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 20(26) 11(37) 1(38) 1(39) 48 124N 1207W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 7(18) X(18) X(18) 72 128N 1235W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 32(48) 12(60) 2(62) 72 128N 1235W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 8(28) 1(29) 72 128N 1235W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) X(15) 96 135N 1260W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 20(39) 7(46) 96 135N 1260W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 3(17) 96 135N 1260W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) 120 140N 1290W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 10(25) 120 140N 1290W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 120 140N 1290W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55 65 75 85 95 95 90 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC