ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 2100 UTC MON JUL 17 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 124N 1141W 34 64 16(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) 12 124N 1141W 50 18 12(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) 12 124N 1141W 64 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 124N 1160W 34 1 58(59) 14(73) 3(76) 1(77) X(77) 1(78) 24 124N 1160W 50 X 22(22) 12(34) 2(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) 24 124N 1160W 64 X 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 36 124N 1178W 34 X 12(12) 45(57) 11(68) 7(75) 1(76) X(76) 36 124N 1178W 50 X 2( 2) 22(24) 10(34) 5(39) X(39) 1(40) 36 124N 1178W 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) 2(17) 1(18) X(18) 48 124N 1191W 34 X 2( 2) 30(32) 21(53) 17(70) 3(73) X(73) 48 124N 1191W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 16(24) 12(36) 1(37) 1(38) 48 124N 1191W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 6(15) 1(16) X(16) 72 127N 1220W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 34(48) 11(59) 3(62) 72 127N 1220W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 7(27) 2(29) 72 127N 1220W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) 1(15) 96 132N 1247W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 22(39) 7(46) 96 132N 1247W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 3(18) 96 132N 1247W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 120 140N 1280W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 11(25) 120 140N 1280W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 120 140N 1280W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50 60 70 80 95 95 90 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC