ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 1500 UTC MON JUL 17 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 126N 1136W 34 67 13(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) 12 126N 1136W 50 12 8(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 12 126N 1136W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 126N 1153W 34 7 56(63) 13(76) 3(79) X(79) 1(80) X(80) 24 126N 1153W 50 X 18(18) 12(30) 2(32) X(32) 1(33) X(33) 24 126N 1153W 64 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 36 126N 1169W 34 X 23(23) 36(59) 12(71) 5(76) X(76) X(76) 36 126N 1169W 50 X 2( 2) 20(22) 10(32) 3(35) 1(36) X(36) 36 126N 1169W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 48 127N 1188W 34 X 3( 3) 22(25) 28(53) 17(70) 2(72) 1(73) 48 127N 1188W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 11(31) 2(33) X(33) 48 127N 1188W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14) 72 129N 1215W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 32(48) 11(59) 2(61) 72 129N 1215W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 8(27) 1(28) 72 129N 1215W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) 1(14) 96 130N 1245W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 22(36) 7(43) 96 130N 1245W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15) 96 130N 1245W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 120 135N 1275W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 10(25) 120 135N 1275W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 120 135N 1275W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 55 65 75 90 90 85 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC