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Hurricane DANIEL (Text)

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HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006
1500 UTC SAT JUL 22 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 130.8W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 282 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  933 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 350SE 250SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 130.8W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 130.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.2N 132.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.6N 134.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.1N 136.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.6N 138.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  55SE  55SW  75NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.5N 140.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  55SE  55SW  75NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 17.5N 142.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 19.0N 145.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 130.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
 
 
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