Hurricane DANIEL

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HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006
0900 UTC WED JUL 19 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 119.0W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 119.0W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 118.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 11.8N 120.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 12.1N 121.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 12.5N 123.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.9N 125.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.6N 129.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 14.5N 133.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 15.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 119.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
 
 
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