Tropical Storm DANIEL

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TROPICAL STORM DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006
0300 UTC TUE JUL 18 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 114.1W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 114.1W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 113.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 12.3N 115.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 12.3N 117.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 12.3N 118.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.4N 120.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 12.8N 123.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 13.5N 126.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 14.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 114.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA
 
 
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