ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE CARLOTTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042006 0300 UTC SAT JUL 15 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOTTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 192N 1167W 34 87 7(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 12 192N 1167W 50 45 11(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 12 192N 1167W 64 12 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 24 195N 1186W 34 5 52(57) 6(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) 24 195N 1186W 50 X 18(18) 2(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) 24 195N 1186W 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 195N 1204W 34 1 11(12) 18(30) 3(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) 36 195N 1204W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 36 195N 1204W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 195N 1220W 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) 48 195N 1220W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 195N 1220W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 195N 1245W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) 1(11) 72 195N 1245W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 195N 1245W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 195N 1270W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 96 195N 1270W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 195N 1270W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 195N 1300W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 120 195N 1300W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 195N 1300W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 60 50 40 30 25 20 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC