Hurricane CARLOTTA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE CARLOTTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042006
1500 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOTTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA CLARION 34 95 2(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
ISLA CLARION 50 59 5(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
ISLA CLARION 64 19 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 185N 1150W 34 88 6(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 185N 1150W 50 47 10(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
12 185N 1150W 64 14 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
24 188N 1172W 34 3 58(61) 7(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
24 188N 1172W 50 X 21(21) 5(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
24 188N 1172W 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 190N 1192W 34 1 11(12) 24(36) 6(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
36 190N 1192W 50 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
36 190N 1192W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 190N 1215W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 11(18) 5(23) 1(24) X(24)
48 190N 1215W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 190N 1215W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 195N 1250W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) 1(12)
72 195N 1250W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
72 195N 1250W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 200N 1270W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8)
96 200N 1270W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 200N 1270W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 200N 1290W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
120 200N 1290W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 200N 1290W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60 55 45 35 30 25 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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