Hurricane CARLOTTA
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HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042006
1500 UTC THU JUL 13 2006
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 110.4W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......105NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 110.4W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 109.8W
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.7N 112.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.0N 114.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.2N 118.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.5N 121.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N 123.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 20.0N 126.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 110.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
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FORECASTER AVILA
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